煤炭生产、消费与工业SO2排放关系计量研究——以西部8省为例
投稿时间:2018-09-29  修订日期:2018-11-27  点此下载全文
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作者单位E-mail
张 琦 中国矿业大学 zqq@cumt.edu.cn 
李效顺 中国矿业大学 lixiaoshun1983@163.com 
王 状 中国矿业大学  
鹿 瑶 中国矿业大学  
魏旭晨 中国矿业大学  
基金项目:国家科技基础性工作专项重点项目(2014FY110800);国家自然科学(71473249,71704177);江苏省社科基金重点项目(15EYA002)第一
中文摘要:研究目的:探究工业SO2排放与煤炭生产、消费存在必然的联系。研究方法:相关分析方法和改进的物理学重心模型。研究结果表明:(1)时序特征显示:西部煤炭生产、煤炭消费量和工业SO2排放量整体都呈现上升趋势,三者增长率均呈现多波峰“M”状波动。2)重心轨迹显示:工业SO2排放轨迹呈现为“倒L”型,煤炭生产和消费轨迹呈现为“J”型。(3)综合对比发现:煤炭生产从源头上影响工业SO2排放,煤炭消费从空间上影响工业SO2排放,为消减工业SO2排放改善生态环境,必须在优先减少煤炭消费增加清洁能源比重的同时,更应该关注对煤炭生产过程的管控。
中文关键词:煤炭  工业SO2  重心模型  匹配度  西部
 
A Comparative study on the Effects of Coal Production and Consumption on Industrial Sulfur Dioxide Emission in western eight provinces
Abstract:To explore the inevitable link between industrial sulfur dioxide emissions and coal production and consumption, the paper used the economics related analysis methods and the physics barycenter model It was showed that:(1) The timing feature displayed that coal production, consumption and industrial sulfur dioxide emission generally showed an upward trend in the West. All the growth rates exhibited multi-peak “M” fluctuations.(2) Analysis of barycenter movement found that the industrial sulfur dioxide emission trajectory was presented as “inverted L” and the coal production and consumption trajectory were presented as “J”.(3)Coal production affects the industrial sulfur dioxide emission at the source and coal consumption affects at the space. To reduce industrial sulfur dioxide emission and improve the ecological environment, we must reduce the consumption of coal and increase the proportion of clean energy. More attention should be paid to the control of the coal production process.
keywords:coal  industrial sulfur dioxide  barycenter model  matching degree  The Western region
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